Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

East Lothian


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 22:03:02
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Scottish National Party
Andrew Sharp
Labour Party
Fiona O'Donnell
Scottish Green Party
James Mackenzie
UK Independence Party
Jon Lloyd
Conservative Party
Michael Veitch
Liberal Democrats
Stuart Ritchie

Incumbent:
Anne Moffat
East Lothian (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
71288
2005
70989

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
18983
7315
11363
5995
Other
2120

 


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10 04 27 Former resident
209.250.145.174
The Labour vote is holding up better in Scotland than anywhere else - they are down only 3%, vs 8% nationally. Lab Hold, unless the local candidate issues prove overwheleming.
10 01 06 Akava77
82.41.245.11
There have been recent difficulties between the local Labour party and the MP, to the extent that they tried to deselect her. Coupled with question marks over financial arrangements of the local Labour MSP, this is one seat that could quite possibly change hands.
Although at the last election the vote was split fairly evenly between the opposing parties, it's difficult to say at this stage who the main beneficiary would be, whoever picks up momentum here during the campaign is likely to run the incumbent very close.



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