Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Na h-Eileanan an Iar


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 22:31:59
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Scottish National Party
Angus MacNeil
Labour Party
Donald John MacSween
Liberal Democrats
Jean Davis
Independent
Murdo A Murray
Conservative Party
Sheena Norquay

Incumbent:
Mr Angus MacNeil
Na h-Eileanan an Iar (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
21884
2005
21576

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
4772
610
1096
6213
Other
97

 


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10 04 30 Laird of Camster
94.197.104.219
A very safe hold for the SNP
10 04 11 Rhyddfrydol
92.41.135.249
Safe seat for the SNP
10 04 09 BBC Andrew Black
204.9.162.70
BBC Andrew Black identified this as a battleground seat.
‘Labour's Calum MacDonald polled more than 55% of the vote in 1997. In the 2001 general election the SNP halved his Westminster majority to just over 1,000 votes and in 2005 a 9.3% swing to the SNP helped Angus MacNeil overturn Labour's majority. Mr MacNeil won by fewer than 1,500 votes - but this accounts for more than 10% of the vote in this sparsely populated seat.’
09 04 14 JFBreton
207.134.225.57
The Tories can be expected to increase their share of the vote, but I think the SNP will increase their majority here at the expense of Labour.



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