Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Preseli Pembrokeshire


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:13:45
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Plaid Cymru
Henry Jones-Davies
Labour Party
Mari Rees
Liberal Democrats
Nick Tregoning
UK Independence Party
Richard Lawson
Conservative Party
Stephen Crabb

Incumbent:
Mr Stephen Crabb
Preseli Pembrokeshire (100 %)
Nick Ainger
Carmarthen West & South Pembrokeshire (1.1 %)

Electorate:
Current
56001
2005
56441

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
13619
14287
5043
4979
Other
1291

 


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10 05 04 ridingbyriding
173.32.33.116
Just re-enforcing my earlier statements. Now that we are in the last 48 hours of the election, we can more easily see that the Tories have indeed held on to the polling lead (and are very likely to therefore hold on to their seats)
10 04 13 ridingbyriding
173.32.33.116
There is simply no way a party polling many points ahead of their result last time will lose a seat where the sitting MP is uncontroversial, and main competitor party is far down in the polls.



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