Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Neath


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:09:09
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Plaid Cymru
Alun Llywelyn
Conservative Party
Emmeline Owens
Liberal Democrats
Frank Little
UK Independence Party
James Bevan
British National Party
Michael Green
Labour Party
Peter Hain

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Peter Hain
Neath (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
56982
2005
57596

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
18832
4135
5114
6126
Other
1609

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10
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