Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Swansea West


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:16:22
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Independent
Alan Bateman
Labour Party
Geraint Davies
Plaid Cymru
Harri Roberts
Independent
Ian McCloy
Green Party
Keith M Ross
Liberal Democrats
Peter May
Conservative Party
René Kinzett
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition
Rob Williams
UK Independence Party
Tim Jenkins

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Alan Williams
Swansea West (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
58336
2005
57946

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
13833
5284
9564
2149
Minor
Parties
738
Other
1516

 


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10 05 04 ridingbyriding
173.32.33.116
The LibDems have always done somewhat well in wales. I expect them to take this seat.
10 04 24 Former resident
70.29.18.217
LDs were 2nd here last time and must be favourities to take this one, with the fall in Labour numbers, and Clegg's TV debate performances.
Wales numbers:
2010 (Apr 20 YouGov): Lab 33, LD 29, Con 23, PC 9
2005 election: Lab 43, Con 21, LD 18, PC 13
Ladbrokes:
LD 8/11, Lab 1



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