Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Ogmore


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:09:09
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
UK Independence Party
Carolyn Passey
Plaid Cymru
Danny Clark
Conservative Party
Emma Moore
Labour Party
Huw Irranca Davies
Liberal Democrats
Jackie Radford
British National Party
Kay Thomas

Incumbent:
Huw Irranca-Davies
Ogmore (100 %)
Mrs Madeleine Moon
Bridgend (4.5 %)

Electorate:
Current
53842
2005
55230

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
19404
4402
4593
3412
Other
169

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10
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