Election Prediction Project

Ontario Provincial Election - 2011

Parry Sound-Muskoka

Prediction Changed
2011-10-06 22:23:00

Constituency Profile


Miller, Norm

Richter, Matt

Stivrins, Andris

Waters, Cindy

Zyganiuk, Alex

Norm Miller


  • Federal Riding Prediction
  • Previous Prediction - 2007 Provincial Election

    2007 Result:


    2003 Result (redistributed):



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    11 09 22 A.S.
    North or South, well...this is yet another case where the provincial PCs benefit from a less hot-potato representative than the federal Cons--and being a hot potato didn't hurt Fallout Boy in the federal election; so, Miller's as safe as could be, befitting his familial political heritage. (Funny, though, how Norm Miller is now deemed something of a party moderate, given how Frank Miller was seen as on the PC hard right back in the day.)
    11 09 18 Pete B.
    Let me turn my attention to predicting results in the North. In general NDP should finish as the dominant party in this region. The Northland/Allied Diesel contract and the Norhern debate are hurting the government severely here. Liberals will have a hard time holding on to more than 1 or 2 seats.
    If we really consider this riding a Northern riding, then this is the second PC seat they will have after this election, in addition to Nipissing.
    11 09 08 Japhtastic
    wow, there’s a glaring error on this site. . .it considers Parry Sound - Muskoka to be in the ‘north’. . .clearly those responsible for this site are willing to overlook McGuinty’s 2004 decision to remove PS-M from the north and disqualifying the riding from receiving funding under government programs available to the defined north.  unfortunately for whomever the liberal candidate is, the riding is unlikely to forget that move ever. . .
    11 08 27 R.O.
    The real contest here may be for second place as Norm Miller has a solid hold on the riding . it is more unpredictable as to which of the 3 parties will come in second liberals , ndp and greens all have a shot . Liberals have manged to get former federal liberal candidate Cindy Waters to run for them but she couldn't even beat ndp in federal vote so i'm a little confused why she thinks she has a shot provincially . this riding is very much a Norm Miller riding but also a fairly conservative area politically.
    11 02 28 JB
    Easy PC win. They've held this riding throughout McGuinty's rule, so why would it change hands now?

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