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Constituency Profile
Candidates:
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Bales, Wendy | |
Bojczuk, Roman | |
Flavelle, Aird | |
Gibson, Simon | |
Halliday, Marcus B | |
Rai, Preet | |
Stahl, Don |
Incumbent: |
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Randy Hawes |
Reference:
Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election
Pundits’ Guide - 2008 Prepresentation Order
2009 Result:
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Randy Hawes* |
10371 | 58.36% |
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Lynn Perrin |
5788 | 32.57% |
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Bill Walsh |
1,611 | 9.07% |
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| 13 05 07 |
Laurence Putnam 204.244.83.122 |
A long-shot at best for the NDP, with the recent shoring up of Liberal support this is not even in question. |
| 13 04 21 |
bza 75.152.122.172 |
I wouldn't say this riding is exactly a slam dunk with the Liberals being so far behind in the polls. Most likely they will hold it, but with the massive collapse in support this easily could be a close election with less than a 5% difference separating the two parties. Even an outside chance of the NDP winning it according to some of the election predictions of pollsters. This riding is a little different than the other Abbotsford ridings since it includes part of Mission, an area with a bit more NDP support as well. |
| 13 03 27 |
GV 206.47.100.160 |
I think this riding presents a very similar story to Abbotsford West. Unlike NO PARTISAN BS, I don't see how this seat is demonstrably safer for the government--both were won by the same percentage margin last time. And the opposition's candidate, a school trustee, is much better than the low-profile individual fielded against de Jong. Still, it strains credulity to imagine the Liberals losing here unless their polling numbers collapse significantly further. |
| 13 03 08 |
NO PARTISAN BS 99.253.117.108 |
A much closer race than last time but the gap is too much to overcome unless the Liberals implode. If this goes NDP, we will need to send out search parties to find successful Liberals. |
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