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Constituency Profile
Candidates:
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de Jong, Michael | |
Dhami, Sukhi | |
Gill, Moe | |
O'Shea, Stephen Carl | |
Osbourne, Kerry-Lynn B | |
Redekopp, Paul Brian |
Incumbent: |
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Mike de Jong |
Reference:
Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election
Pundits’ Guide - 2008 Prepresentation Order
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| 13 05 07 |
Laurence Putnam 204.244.83.122 |
Mike de Jong drove the stake through the heart of the Social Credit party by defeating Grace McCarthy here in the 1994 by-election. For that, I will never forgive him. Nevertheless, a riding which managed to re-elect the Socreds in 1991 and make a seamless transition to the Liberals in 1994 has absolutely no chance of returning a New Democrat, not even were it the ghost of Tommy Douglas. de Jong will probably face Coleman, perhaps Stilwell and maybe a couple of others for control of the Liberals after the election. |
| 13 04 21 |
bza 75.152.122.172 |
Another Abbotsford riding race that is likely a lot more closer with the dynamics of this election. Mike De Jong is definitely a known quantity and is a strong incumbent, but could also be affected by the huge drop in Liberal support. Will be a close race, still likely to close to call this early in. |
| 13 03 27 |
GV 206.47.100.160 |
I'm leaning to the Liberals here, but with the caveat that I don't have any sort of special expertise in this area of the province. Mike de Jong has a very long history in the legislature that I don't see being upset easily, while the NDP has fielded a low-profile candidate. It's surely correct to observe that the margin will be close, but I'll have to be convinced that it's a margin that will favour the challengers. |
| 13 03 08 |
NO PARTISAN BS 99.253.117.108 |
This one will be a close result. The NDP will be up and the Liberals down but the gap may be too large for the NDP to overcome. A squeaker either way. |
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