Election Prediction Project

British Columbia Provincial Election - 2011

Abbotsford West

Prediction Changed
2013-05-15 00:06:21

Constituency Profile


de Jong, Michael

Dhami, Sukhi

Gill, Moe

O'Shea, Stephen Carl

Osbourne, Kerry-Lynn B

Redekopp, Paul Brian

Mike de Jong


  • Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election
  • Pundits’ Guide - 2008 Prepresentation Order

    2009 Result:

    Michael G. de Jong*
    Taranjit Purewal
    Dalbir Benipal
    Karen Marie Durant


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    13 05 07 Laurence Putnam
    Mike de Jong drove the stake through the heart of the Social Credit party by defeating Grace McCarthy here in the 1994 by-election. For that, I will never forgive him. Nevertheless, a riding which managed to re-elect the Socreds in 1991 and make a seamless transition to the Liberals in 1994 has absolutely no chance of returning a New Democrat, not even were it the ghost of Tommy Douglas. de Jong will probably face Coleman, perhaps Stilwell and maybe a couple of others for control of the Liberals after the election.
    13 04 21 bza
    Another Abbotsford riding race that is likely a lot more closer with the dynamics of this election.
    Mike De Jong is definitely a known quantity and is a strong incumbent, but could also be affected by the huge drop in Liberal support.
    Will be a close race, still likely to close to call this early in.
    13 03 27 GV
    I'm leaning to the Liberals here, but with the caveat that I don't have any sort of special expertise in this area of the province. Mike de Jong has a very long history in the legislature that I don't see being upset easily, while the NDP has fielded a low-profile candidate. It's surely correct to observe that the margin will be close, but I'll have to be convinced that it's a margin that will favour the challengers.
    13 03 08 NO PARTISAN BS
    This one will be a close result. The NDP will be up and the Liberals down but the gap may be too large for the NDP to overcome. A squeaker either way.

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