Election Prediction Project
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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2011

Alberni-Pacific Rim


Prediction Changed
2013-05-15 00:26:42
 
 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

DeLuca, Darren Frank
Fraser, Scott Kenneth
Sangster-Kelly, Enid Mary

Incumbent:
 Scott Fraser

Reference:

  • Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election
  • Pundits’ Guide - 2008 Prepresentation Order


    2009 Result:


    Scott Kenneth Fraser*
    1048859.36%
    Dianne St. Jacques
    560531.73%
    Paul Musgrave
    1,3247.49%
    Dallas Kenneth Jack Hills
    2501.42%


    		•   


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    		13 04 20 GV
    206.47.117.43
    Predicting these Vancouver Island ridings is getting boring. Fraser may well earn over 65% of the vote, and stands a reasonable chance of sweeping all the polls.
    		 13 03 27 Laurence Putnam
    50.98.247.34
    From the granola crunchers in Tofino to the union workforce in Port Alberni - this is most definitely, and without any doubt a 65%+ margin for the NDP waiting to happen.
    		13 03 08 NO PARTISAN BS
    99.253.117.108
    Another NDP blowout here. The NDP will sweep the Island and the only issues to be decided are the margin of victory and how much the Green vote will grow.
    		13 02 05 JKennethY
    76.70.114.163
    The Island will go 100% NDP. The Greens have an outside chance in a seat or two and will finish well ahead of the BC Libs in popular vote. The Conservatives are out of the question

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