Election Prediction Project

British Columbia Provincial Election - 2011


Prediction Changed
2013-06-04 00:06:30

Constituency Profile


Kim, Steve

Robinson, Selina Mae

Stanbrough, Edward Andreas

Diane Thorne


  • Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election
  • Pundits’ Guide - 2008 Prepresentation Order

    2009 Result:

    Diane Thorne*
    Dennis John Marsden
    Stephen Reid
    Doug Stead


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    13 03 27 GV
    Diane Thorne, a fairly weak candidate, won this riding twice for her party amid an overall provincial Liberal victory. Her successor Robinson is a stronger candidate amid a (likely) overall provincial NDP victory. It follows syllogistically that she should win (even if you don't factor in Mike Farnworth's presence nearby).
    13 03 11 Gary Volk
    This will be a NDP hold. The party's candidate is a popular City Councillor, who in many ways is even stronger than the retiring incumbent NDP MLA. The party will also benefit from the star power of Mike Farnworth in the neighbouring constituency. His popularity in the Tri-Cities far outweighs that of the party.
    13 03 08 NO PARTISAN BS
    Unless the Liberals make a miracle comeback, this will stay in the NDP column. A close race last time will be a solid NDP win this time.
    13 03 07 NO PARTISAN BS
    It is hard to see any opportunity for Liberals to take away any riding won by the NDP in the last election. NDP up, Libs way down..again, this may be closer than some but this is another one in the bag for the NDP.
    13 02 23 Gary Volk
    The NDP should hold this as they have a strong candidate in Councillor Selina Robinson, in fact, she's a stronger candidate than previous MLA Diane Thorne. Robinson will also benefit from having super popular Mike Farnworth as the NDP candidate in the neighbouring constituency.

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