Election Prediction Project

British Columbia Provincial Election - 2011

Juan de Fuca

Prediction Changed
2013-05-15 00:32:10

Constituency Profile


Horgan, John

Reay, Kerrie

Serra, Carlos

John Horgan


  • Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election
  • Pundits’ Guide - 2008 Prepresentation Order

    2009 Result:

    John Horgan*
    Jody Twa
    James Robert Powell


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    13 04 20 GV
    This riding isn't naturally inclined so far towards the NDP as to make the race a foregone conclusion (it was a close race federally 2 years ago). However, John Horgan's political profile is sufficiently impressive to render him invulnerable this year. He should get the Energy portfolio in cabinet.
    13 04 02 rennie
    No Brainer!! Horgan is one of the hardest working MLA's and has gotten a lot of press for the right things. No liberal candidate and a very low profile Green Candidate. Horgan wins with a good chunk of the vote
    13 03 27 Laurence Putnam
    The high profile and fairly likeable Horgan wins greater than 60% and is subsequently named to cabinet.
    13 03 08 NO PARTISAN BS
    The NDP will sweep the Island and the only issues to be decided are the margin of victory and how much the Green vote will grow.
    13 02 18 Devon
    Easy hold for the BCNDP! John Horgan will probably be named the Energy Minister.

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