Election Prediction Project

British Columbia Provincial Election - 2011

New Westminster

Prediction Changed
2013-05-15 00:06:39

Constituency Profile


Bremner, Hector

Crosty, James

Dahlby, Lewis Clarke

Darcy, Judy

Forseth, Paul

Teather, Terry Douglas

Dawn Black


  • Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election
  • Pundits’ Guide - 2008 Prepresentation Order

    2009 Result:

    Dawn Black
    Carole Dorothy Millar
    Matthew Laird


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    13 05 03 Teddy Boragina
    Given the mess the BCC has gotten themselves into this election, I take back anything I said about this riding. The NDP will hold it.
    13 04 25 Laurence Putnam
    It's billed as (B)un-official - but the burger poll at New Westminster's Burger Heaven restaurant on Agnes Street on Monday had the following:
    NDP 143
    IND 89
    LIB 58
    GRN 40
    CON 15
    Scientific? No. But interesting, yes. I wondered aloud if the Independents make up a lot of people who don't plan on voting at all.
    Interesting...and tasty. Really good burgers, great fries and amazing milkshake if you're in the area.
    13 04 19 Teddy Boragina
    Call me crazy, but I think the Conservatives have a shot here; especially given that their candidate is the former MP
    13 03 27 GV
    Dawn Black's departure won't change anything here. Veteran union organizer Judy Darcy is a very solid fit with this riding.
    13 03 21 Laurence Putnam
    If my memory is correct - this riding has voted NDP in every election I can think of with the sole exception of 2001, all the way back through history. While the area continues to gentrify, this is about as solid footing as the NDP could ask for. Even without the name recognition of Dawn Black, I'd say they're shooting for 60% here.
    13 03 08 NO PARTISAN BS
    Barring a massive turnaround in the polls, I cannot see anything but a clear NDP win in this riding.
    13 03 07 NO PARTISAN BS
    This is hard core NDP turf and even a new candidate is not going to change this. Another seat for the NDP.

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