Election Prediction Project
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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2011

Vancouver-Kensington


Prediction Changed
2013-05-15 08:43:30
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Elmore, Mable

Fjell, Chris

Gupta, Raj

Kalaw, Gabby

Incumbent:
Mable Elmore

Reference:

  • Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election
  • Pundits’ Guide - 2008 Prepresentation Order


    2009 Result:


    Mable Elmore
    993052.55%
    Syrus Lee
    767840.63%
    Doug Warkentin
    1,2886.82%


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    13 04 11 Vancouver expert
    24.84.185.69
    East Vancouver is solid NDP ground, was is and always will be
    13 03 26 GV
    206.47.100.160
    Lawrence Putnam correctly fingers future gentrification as an issue in this riding. But for the moment, all of that's irrelevant. There can be little doubt that Mable Elmore will be returned this year.
    13 03 12 Laurence Putnam
    24.244.23.1
    This former seat of political chameleon Ujjal Dosanjh has returned the NDP in every election since dual-member ridings in the 1980s with the sole exception of the 2001 NDP meltdown. The demographics of this riding are changing and in years to come this may shift away from being a typical NDP seat...but that's still a ways away. Definitely in the orange column on May 14.
    13 03 08 NO PARTISAN BS
    99.253.117.108
    The NDP was over 50% in the last election and are up even higher now in the polling. No way is this going anywhere but back into the NDP column.



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