Election Prediction Project

British Columbia Provincial Election - 2011

West Vancouver-Capilano

Prediction Changed
2013-05-14 23:41:58

Constituency Profile


Audain, Tunya

Jones, David

Markwick, Michael

Platt, Terry

Sultan, Ralph

Ralph Sultan


  • Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election
  • Pundits’ Guide - 2008 Prepresentation Order

    2009 Result:

    Ralph Sultan*
    Terry Platt
    Ryan Windsor
    David Owen Marley
    Eddie Petrossian
    Tunya Audain


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    13 03 28 GV
    No chance of a loss for Ralph Sultan, though he's getting awfully old...
    13 03 08 NO PARTISAN BS
    No chance of the Liberals losing this seat unless they implode province wide. One of the safest Liberal seats in the election.
    13 02 15 Laurence Putnam
    The suggestion this riding could have slipped is fundamentally absurd. Sultan won with just 67% last time, one of his worst showings since his initial election in 2001. He could bleed another 20% and still win comfortably. Sultan is highly respected in the riding and by the way, the HST referendum was over 70% in favour here. BC Liberals will win this in a walk.
    13 02 10 Insider
    This riding could have slipped from the Liberals if the Conservatives were doing better. With the Conservative 'surge' being a temporary phenomenon, the Liberals will hold on to this even in a total meltdown.
    13 02 09 Jack Cox
    I've run numbers in the latest polling and of the 19 seats the BCL is projected to win in this this one is considered one of 4 safe seats. Sufficed to say this one will be kept by the Liberals.

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