14 06 10	A.S. 99.231.139.81
A classic 2007 'certain PC pickup that John Tory blew'; but Monte McN made up for that with a vengeance in 2011--it didn't help that there was dithering over whether she'd even run again; but Maria Van Bommel suffered the soundest defeat of *any* incumbent Liberal that year (indeed, she barely won more polls than the NDP--then again, Grit strength was more diffuse, while the NDP had Wallaceburg and several reserves in its favour). Now, *here's* one sometime swing seat that's now thoroughly out of contention for anyone else--particularly given how the incumbent smells like a potential PC cabinet heavy hitter in the making...
	14 05 22	R.O. 24.146.23.226
Monte Mcnaughton is a good mpp for the Ontario pc's and high profile critic at times . former liberal mpp is not running again and this looks to be a likely conservative riding now .
	14 05 04	monkey 174.114.16.226
Another rural Southwestern Ontario where the wind turbines and wind energy policies are wildly unpopular, so easy PC win. The only question is do they crack the 50% mark this time around or not.
	14 05 07	Philip Shaw 64.66.231.101
Who knows who wins. Its about agriculture and the farm vote in this largely rural riding. The Green Energy Act is surely a lightening rod, and any defending of the wind turbines will be a vote killer. Right now hog and cattle prices are high, grains not so much and land prices very high. So it is very different from the days when farmers were rallying across this country. I dunno who the NDP candidate will be. With all Andrea Horwath has to do is smile, you can never discount an NDP Bob Rae like revival, even in LKM. Its unlikely for sure, but you never know. The agricultural income stabilization policy world is a shambles except for in Ontario, where the LIberal government has really tried up against the Fed Conservatives who refuse to change margin based programs. However, their support of the GEA makes it a mute point. Also the Ontario Ethanol Growth Fund ends next year, effectively weakening a pillar for corn demand. IMO, this policy was the most successful Ontario ag policy ever. Monte surely is the favourite, but LIberal Mike Radan also has a game. We'll see who the NDP nominate. We are all Canadian. I look forward to good dialogue.
	14 05 05	Numbers Pundit 209.239.28.137
Tory hold although McNaughton could've become a lightening rod for 'right-to-work' opposition when Hudak was still articulating (and poorly) that position while McNaughton was simultaneously emerging as the lead on the policy in caucus. That said, the issue has evaporated with the Tories' retreat from the issue and McNaughton should be more than capable of bettering his 2011 result. Areas in Kent county and the city of Strathroy can be stubborn; (aka those areas denied McNaughton a victory in 2007) and the Liberals are hoping small businessman Mike Radan can appeal to those areas of the riding that kept Maria van Bommell in between 2003-11 and Rose-Marie Ur federally from 1993-04. As the trend in southwestern Ontario for progressive voters in recent by-elections (London West and Windsor) moved sharply to the NDP it remains unlikely the Liberals hold any chance of sustaining let alone bettering their 2011 outcome.
	13 03 03	LFC Ottawa 65.92.114.223
Monte will win here easily. Rural seats that McGuinty lost are not going for Wynne