14 06 09	A.S. 99.231.139.81
If the Forum poll's any indicator, Jim Bradley's 2014's version of Mike Colle in 2011: caught flatfooted one election; so, made sure *not* to be caught flatfooted the next time around. And, perhaps, by turning 'a vote for NDP is a vote for PC' conventional wisdom upside its head: that is, rather than the 'strategic left' duels that elected Common Sense Tories in 1999, it's the 2014-model duelling populisms cancelling each other out on behalf of the Grits in St. Kitts, and Gawd bless the NDP for nominating someone 'viable' here...
	14 06 07	Toronto Star/Forum Poll 99.231.139.81
St. Catharines (polled Monday, 664 people, accurate to within 4 percentage points, 19 times out of 20) Liberal Jim Bradley 46 per cent, Progressive Conservative Matt Siscoe 27 per cent, New Democrat Jennie Stevens 21 per cent, Green Jennifer Mooradian 5 per cent.
	14 05 29	Arden 24.212.218.226
I believe that the Liberal party should be able to hold here. The incumbent has an advantage here, and, given the polling, I don't think the PC party will be able to take the seat.
	14 05 27	Marco Ricci 99.241.63.7
I don't know whether it's 'Jim Bradley's riding for as long as he wants to stay', but at the moment the 308 seat projection gives this riding a 67% chance of going Liberal. Will be interesting to see if those numbers hold up on Election Day.
	14 05 22	Niagara 24.141.68.206
Then I guess it will be a long night for the Liberals
	14 05 22	seasaw 99.224.211.188
Jim Bradley's riding for as long as he wants to stay. Yes, 2011 was close, but so was 1990 and 1995, he came back and won big after those close calls.
	14 05 21	Tory in Dixie 97.81.48.173
TCTC - 30+ years ago, St. Catherine's bucked the trend, with Joe Reid, Tory, holding the federal riding in the 1980 Liberal sweep and then, the following year, Liberal Bradley reelected when Davis regained his majority. Now, if you look at vote percentages, they seem to increasingly mirror provincial results at large. What gets me is how closely the riding result in 2011 mirrored the provincial result - close, very close but no cigar for the Tories. That's why I say TCTC.
	14 05 19	nesooite 173.76.174.83
If Bradley loses this. It will be a long night for the Liberals
	14 05 18	ME 69.165.149.55
Will be very close due to the NDP running a city council person...
	14 05 09	Dr Bear 67.212.3.251
TCTC but I think it will be a PC pick up. The vote was very close last time and all that's needed is for the NDP to take a small bite out of the Liberal's apple to tip this blue. It's even possible that the NDP takes a big bite out the Liberal's apple tipping the riding orange, but that's a far less likely scenario. I'm going to reserve judgement for now but I think it's leaning PC.
	14 05 02	Politico 65.93.32.31
TCTC in St. Catharines. Bradley may have been the incumbent since 1975, but the 2011 result was way too close for comfort for most Liberals. The Tories have a better candidate this time around. I suspect it will all come down to who the NDP nominates as a candidate.
	13 09 10	Full Name 206.177.43.77
Teddy is dead wrong here. St. Catharines has voted Liberal in the following elections: 1977 (Tory minority) 1981 (Tory majority) 1985 (Tory minority turned into a Liberal minority) 1987 (Liberal majority) 1990 (NDP majority) 1995 (Tory majority) 1999 (Tory majority) 2003 (Liberal majority) 2007 (Liberal majority) 2011 (Liberal minority) In other words, not a bellwether.
	13 05 17	Teddy Boragina 198.96.35.90
St. Cathy's is one of the more well known bellwether ridings in the province. Provincially and even Federally it tends to vote for the winner of the election. My prediction here, at this time, is TCTC.
	13 02 26	northerner 99.224.50.34
Electionprediction is dead wrong in putting this in the liberal column. Are you guys seriously suggesting that the PC's and the NDP can't take 1500 votes from the liberals in St Catharines? The liberals won't get anything close to what they got last time as a provincial average, and St Catharines isn't Toronto where the PC numbers never move much. The laws of mathematics say the PC's win this if they do 2% better province wide this time. I know...blah blah blah Bradley has been an MPP forever...that won't help him. 1500 or 2000 votes is NOTHING. PC pick up.
	13 02 24	LFC Ottawa 70.30.20.189
The gap was closed here last time. The PC's will be over the top and defeat Bradley this time around.
	13 02 22	Can_eh_dian Redhead 206.177.43.73
Bradley has been the MPP here since 1977. Unless he doesn't run, the results in St. Catharines won't change.
	13 02 20	seasaw 99.225.1.213
Jim Bradley is the longest serving MPP, right now. Nothing will change, regardless of the kind of campaign each party runs. The only things to watch for is Bradley's margin of victory, and who will finish second.