Election Prediction Project

Canada Federal Election - 2015

Souris-Moose Mountain

Prediction Changed
2015-03-17 23:44:04

Constituency Profile


Bebbington, Steven

Deptuck, Bob

Kitchen, Robert Gordon

O'Dell, Vicky

(2011 census)


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant

   Souris-Moose Mountain
   (174/190 polls, 93.17% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

Ed Komarnicki

   (14/190 polls, 6.64% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

Hon. Ralph Goodale

   (2/190 polls, 0.19% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

Garry Breitkreuz


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15 10 13 Teddy Boragina
I noticed this riding had fewer than 5 party predictions, and decided to throw my hat into the ring.
This is the strongest CPC riding in the province, if they won only a single seat, this would be it.
15 09 28 A.S.
Actually, the former Moose Mountain riding was CCF up to the DiefenLandslide--and the present seat even went Liberal in 1993 when Reform was still finding its sea legs in Saskatchewan. But since then, the only real challenge came when disendorsed ex-Premier Grant Devine made an independent bid in 2004. And it's the kind of seat where the NDP hasn't cracked 20% in any election since 1988. It's Con-bedrock, i.e. even if the party were pretty much Iggy'd, it'd stay.
15 09 18 R.O.
This is an open riding as long time mp Ed Komarnicki has retired. But its mostly a rural riding and one that has been conservative in recent years. new candidate Robert Kitchen should be able to hold the riding.
15 03 29 monkey
Even back in the days of Tommy Douglas when the NDP was strong here, this riding has always gone Tory and is not likely to change this time around.
15 03 16 JW
While redistribution makes Regina and Saskatoon ridings very competitive between the Conservatives and the NDP, it also made all (but one) ridings outside the two cities overwhelmingly Conservative. Barring a major Conservative meltdown, this will safely remain Conservative.

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Canada Federal Election - 2015
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