Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Canada Federal Election - 2015

Calgary Midnapore


Prediction Changed
2015-03-25 21:27:22
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Askin, Peggy

Brown, Haley

Kenney, Jason

Wauters, Brennan

Weston, Laura


Population/populations
(2011 census)

111227


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

3702175.90%
514610.55%
31246.40%
31376.43%
Other 3450.71%
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant


   Calgary Southeast
   (167/222 polls, 72.98% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Hon. Jason Kenney
28261
3890
2426
2678
Other262


   Calgary Southwest
   (50/222 polls, 26.03% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Rt. Hon. Stephen Harper
8426
1228
668
440
Other52


   Macleod
   (3/222 polls, 0.99% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
John Barlow
334
28
30
19
Other31



 


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15 10 07 Monkey Cheese
99.242.194.247
Despite Jason Kenney's recent bouts of racism and social media gaffes, I suspect that he will still do quite well. He could very well be the next Prime Minister or Opposition Leader depending on how the Conservatives do this election. I have my suspicions that he'll make a run for the leadership of the Conservatives when Harper decides to step down.
15 09 28 A.S.
99.233.125.239
Given Jason Kenney's fabled feats of ethnic outreach on behalf of the Conservatives, the name 'Calgary Midnapore' sounds almost parodistic--though it isn't as if the demographics are terribly Bengali; in Calgary terms, that'd be further northwest. And ironically, that only makes him more immune to an increasingly unlikely (to say the least) Notley-effect challenge. (What? You still think it's May 2015 or something?)
15 09 23 Tony Ducey
71.7.240.66
This seat will be held by Kenney, more than likely he'll be in the race to replace Harper when that time comes.
15 03 29 monkey
174.114.31.13
The south side of Calgary has always been the most Conservative part of the city thus easy Tory win. Besides Jason Kenney is a possible successor to Harper thus Tory landslide.
15 03 25 Jack Cox
69.165.234.184
Held by the current Minister of National Defence Jason Kenney, he's probably got a good chance to be the next leader of the Conservative Party, he's holding this seat and it's not even close.



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