Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Canada Federal Election - 2015

Calgary Rocky Ridge


Prediction Changed
2015-03-25 21:27:30
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Kelly, Pat

Kot, Stephanie

Naidoo, Nirmala

Wright, Catriona


Population/populations
(2011 census)

108901


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

3017868.52%
505011.47%
557112.65%
31897.24%
Other 510.12%
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant


   Calgary-Nose Hill
   (104/179 polls, 65.97% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Hon. Diane Ablonczy
19077
3397
2849
1622


   Calgary West
   (69/179 polls, 33.75% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Rob Anders
10979
1639
2707
1559
Other51


   Wild Rose
   (6/179 polls, 0.28% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Blake Richards
122
14
15
8



 


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15 09 29 A.S.
99.233.125.239
The fact that it mostly stayed PC in the Notley election (and that Foothills remained 'conservative' in the subsequent Prentice-replacement byelection) is enough reason to deem Rocky Ridge solid as, well, a rocky ridge.
15 09 06 R.O.
24.146.23.226
An open Calgary riding and maybe more competitive than others but still likely to stay conservative. Also with news this week of a wildrose victory in Calgary foothills by-election it appears ndp momentum is over in Calgary and politics returning to normal here. Pat Kelly should be able to hold onto this riding for cpc.
15 03 25 Jack Cox
69.165.234.184
There are competitive ridings in Calgary now, but this definitely isn't one of them, although I will say the Liberals have a very good candidate they have in Nirmala Naidoo, so I'll never say never but the Tories should hold this with no problem.



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