Election Prediction Project
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Canada Federal Election - 2015

Red Deer-Mountain View


Prediction Changed
2015-03-23 23:02:05
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Dreeshen, Earl

Harris, Paul

Kastern, Chandra Lescia

Milne, Scott

Oleny, Simon

Walper, James


Population/populations
(2011 census)

110793


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

3750779.37%
562811.91%
16713.54%
23855.05%
Other 660.14%
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant


   Red Deer
   (162/229 polls, 71.06% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Earl Dreeshen
24322
4622
1166
1620


   Wild Rose
   (60/229 polls, 28.19% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Blake Richards
12876
987
499
757
Other59


   Crowfoot
   (7/229 polls, 0.74% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Hon. Kevin Sorenson
309
19
6
8
Other7



 


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15 09 29 A.S.
99.233.125.239
The southern of the two Red Deer seats created out of one--and the stronger CPC; after all, the Olds/Didsbury zone is the kind of place where Reform was a winning factor in *1988*. No wonder Dreeshen's chosen this half.
15 03 23 JW
99.232.118.35
While a selected few (very few, if any) ridings in Edmonton or even Calgary may end up being competitive at some point of the campaign, rural Alberta will continue to be solid Conservative territory. Remember, the last time rural Alberta returned a non-Conservative/PC/Reform/Alliance MP was 1968 (two that election, and one of them started with the Social Credits).



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