Election Prediction Project

British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017


Prediction Changed
2017-05-04 21:36:48

Constituency Profile



Entwistle, Peter

Larson, Linda Margaret

Lavers, Vonnie

Ross, Colleen

Linda Larson

Population (2014):42340
Deviation from average:-20.30%
Geographical Area:15614 sq km
2013 Election Result
Linda Margaret Larson
Sam Hancheroff
John Kwasnica
Mischa Popoff
Doug Pederson
Previous Prediction - 2013 Provincial Election
Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election


03/05/2017 hay sting
There are conflicting polls for the Interior region of B.C. But none show the NDP with much of a lead and most show the BC Liberals ahead by a hair or a much wider margin. The BCL strategy seems tailored to the interior.
It certainly seems like the urban/rural divide will be on full display on May 9. Though the NDP may just manage to hold most of their interior seats, this seems just out of reach as a pickup.
17 03 08 South Islander
Last election, Larson held this riding for the BC Liberals by 8% when the party won by 5%. Now with an incumbency advantage, she should be able to hold this unless the NDP improve significantly in the interior and are headed for a big win.
17 01 25 Jack Cox
This is a swing riding, Linda Larson has never had it easy here, despite winning by eight points, this is a riding the NDP would need to win if they hope to form Government.

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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017
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