Election Prediction Project

British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017

Kelowna West

Prediction Changed
2017-01-05 22:36:21

Constituency Profile



Clark, Christy

Cook, Shelley

Mellalieu, Robert

Thiesen, Brian

Hon. Christy Clark

Population (2014):59750
Deviation from average:12.50%
Geographical Area:1142 sq km
2013 Election Result
Ben Stewart*
Carole Gordon
Brian Guillou
Previous Prediction - 2013 Provincial Election
Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election


08/05/2017 Miles Lunn
This is a very safe Liberal riding so unlike 2013, Christy Clark will not lose her own seat, even if she loses province wide. BC Liberals have strong lead in the Interior (if they lose it will be due to losses in the Lower Mainland not interior) + this is one of the safest BC Liberal ridings in the interior meaning she will not only win, but probably by a 2 to 1 margin.
17 03 10 South Islander
The Premier amazingly did better here in the byelection than Ben Stewart did in the general - she's a very strong campaigner and seems to always be able to gain ground. She may not do as well this time around because she'll be traveling the province and the Greens have a candidate, but this district won't be defeating a Premier just to send a message to the party.
17 01 02 EP
The local defeat of a majority winning Premier will not be repeated in this riding, which has reliably voted for the right-of-centre options for decades.

Navigate to British Columbia 2017 Home | Regional Index | Submission

British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017
Election Prediction Project/Projet D'Élection Prévision - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2017 - Email Webmaster