Vancouver-West End

	Clarke, John
	Dunn, Leon David
	Elliott, Nigel
	Herbert, Spencer Chandra
	Marshall, James
Incumbent:
	Vancouver-West End Spencer Chandra Herbert

Reference:

Population (2014):			57287
Deviation from average:			7.80%
Geographical Area:			14 sq km
2013 Election Result
	Vancouver-West End
		Spencer Chandra Herbert*
		10755	56.81%
		Scott Harrison
		5349	28.25%
		Jodie Emery
		2156	11.39%
		John Clarke
		446	2.35%
		Ronald Guillermo Herbert
		132	0.70%
		Mathew David Kagis
		94	0.50%
Previous Prediction - 2013 Provincial Election Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election

	21/04/2017	Proud BCer 154.5.209.240
An easy hold for the NDP, although in the unlikely event that the Greens have a massive breakthrough, this is certainly one of the few seats in Greater Vancouver they might be competitive in.
	17 03 09	South Islander 184.71.12.34
The BCL managed to hold Vancouver Burrard, the precursor riding, in 2005 by a tiny margin because 1) their incumbent was a visble, outspoken MLA who was popular with the LGBT community, and 2) the district contained all of Coal Harbour and Yaletown. Mayencourt isn't running here, and Yaletown + much of Coal Harbour are now in the new False Creek district. Herbert managed to win here in 2013 by nearly 30% - the addition of part of Coal Harbour might affect the margin but not the outcome.
	17 01 09	Brian J 64.114.70.133
Spencer has too many factors in his favour to lose in May. He's running in downtown Vancouver, is a popular incumbent with the low-income urban voters, the Gay Village and the young downtown dwellers. It wasn't close in 2013, and it won't be close in 2017.