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United Kingdom General Election - 2017

Thornbury and Yate


Prediction Changed
2017-06-04 22:57:13
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Hall, Luke

Hamilton, Iain

Mead, Brian

Young, Claire

Incumbent:
Luke Hall

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
47.81 % vs. 52.19 % (Est.)

2015 Election Result
Hall, Luke
1992441.0%
Webb, Steven*
1842937.9%
Martin, Russ
512610.6%
Roberts, Hadleigh
37757.8%
Hamilton, Iain
13162.7%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
Webb, S.J.*
2503251.9%
Riddle, M.R.
1791637.2%
Egan, R.R. Ms.
33857.0%
Knight, J. Ms.
17093.5%
Beacham, T.E.R.
126 .3%
Clements, A.G.A.
58 .1%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
4975
14478
25466
Other1677


 

30/04/2017 Teddy Boragina
75.119.244.241
I've seen polls suggesting the LibDems are at 2010 levels in the South West, and while polls of this nature are rare, all the polls show the LibDems are doing amazingly well in the South West, and as such, I'd expect this seat to easily return to their fold.
29/04/2017 EPP
99.230.50.38
Lib Dem came in a very close second in 2015. I think Lib Dem can capture this constituency by winning over the disillusion Labour voters, especially the pro-Euro ones.
27/04/2017 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
3.1 percent Tory victory here last time. They'll hold it by an increased majority thanks to their good polling numbers.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2017
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