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Blundell, Kelly-Marie |  |
Caulfield, Maria |  |
Chapman, Daniel |
Incumbent: |
 |
Maria Caulfield |
2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave) | 52.86 % vs. 47.14 % (Est.)
| 2015 Election Result |
| |  |
Caulfield, Maria |
19206 | 38.0% |
|  |
Baker, Norman* |
18123 | 35.9% |
|  |
Finch, Ray |
5427 | 10.7% |
|  |
Russell-Moyle, Lloyd |
5000 | 9.9% |
|  |
Stirling, Alfie |
2784 | 5.5% |
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction) |
| |  |
Baker, N.J.* |
26048 | 52.0% |
|  |
Sugarman, J.A. |
18401 | 36.7% |
|  |
Koundarjian, H. |
2508 | 5.0% |
|  |
Charlton, P.A. |
1728 | 3.4% |
|  |
Murray, S.J. Ms. |
729 | 1.5% |
|  |
Lloyd, D.R. |
594 | 1.2% |
|  |
Soucek, O. |
80 | .2% |
2005 Election Result (transposed) |
| |  | 4181 |
|  | 15894 |
|  | 24241 |
| Other | 2098 |
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 | 08/05/2017 |
Expat 192.133.45.2 |
This is a Remain constituency. Greens are standing down to make it easier for the Lib Dem candidate to win. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/may/08/vince-cable-alliances-liberal-democrat-mp-labour |
 | 30/04/2017 |
Teddy Boragina 75.119.244.241 |
With the LibDems up across the entirety of the South (according to every single poll I've looked at) applying a simple nation-wide swing is short-sighted. This seat should go LD |
 | 29/04/2017 |
EPP 99.230.50.38 |
Lib Dem came in a very close second in 2015, and the constituency voted to Remain. I think Lib Dem can capture this constituency by winning over the disillusion Labour voters, especially the pro-Euro ones. |
 | 27/04/2017 |
Jack Cox 24.212.227.58 |
2.1 percent Tory win here the last time. The tories will hold this with their current polling numbers. |
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