Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2017

Birmingham, Yardley


Prediction Changed
2017-06-04 16:19:44
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Afzal, Mohammed

Clayton, Paul

Garghan, Christopher

Hemming, John

Nowshed, Abu

Phillips, Jess

Incumbent:
Jess Phillips

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
39.91 % vs. 60.09 %

2015 Election Result
Phillips, Jess
1712941.6%
Hemming, John*
1053425.6%
Clayton, Paul
663716.1%
Photay, Arun
576014.0%
Bishop, Grant
6981.7%
Stephens, Teval
187 .5%
Flynn, Eamonn
135 .3%
Johnson, Peter
71 .2%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
Hemming, J.A.M.*
1616239.6%
Kelly, L.C. Ms.
1316032.2%
Jenkins, M.
783619.2%
Lumby, T.J. Ms.
21535.3%
Duffen, G.M.
11902.9%
Morris, P.E.
349 .9%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
13926
3919
17491
Minor Parties2204
Other2491


 

27/05/2017 V.F.
104.16.121.223
A rematch of Phillips and Hemming. With 60% Leave vote, this does not appear to be good growth territory for Lib Dem. Likely Lab hold, but will be interesting to watch
26/04/2017 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
16% win by Labour here last time out. It will be tighter but the margin is too much for the Lib Dems to overcome.



Navigate to UK 2017 Home | West Midlands Index | Submission

United Kingdom General Election - 2017
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2017 - Email Webmaster