Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2017

Derby South


Prediction Changed
2017-04-23 19:25:01
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Beckett, Dame Margaret

Graves, Alan

Naitta, Joe

Sleeman, Ian

Williams, Evonne

Incumbent:
The Rt Hon. Dame Margaret Beckett

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
38.65 % vs. 61.35 % (Est.)

2015 Election Result
Beckett, Margaret*
2000749.0%
Williams, Evonne
1117927.4%
Webb, Victor
634115.5%
Naitta, Joe
17174.2%
Foster, David
12083.0%
Fernandez, Chris
225 .6%
Gale, David
143 .4%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
Beckett, M.M. Ms.*
1785143.3%
Perschke, J.
1172928.5%
Batey, D.R.
843020.5%
Fowke, S.
18214.4%
Graves, A.
13573.3%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
19811
7336
10114
Other2493


 

05/05/2017 JC
162.23.111.62
The Conservatives have taken control of Derbyshire County Council with a massive swing from Labour. The Tories won 37 (up from 18) to claim a majority and wiped out Labour's 22-seat majority from 2013, while Labour dropped to 24 (down from 43) seats.
Per BBC, 'This was Labour's last stand - its last county council to be defended in England. And its defences have proven to be weak.'
This certainly bodes very well for the Tories, especially given the collapse of the UKIP. While a high profile MP like Beckett will likely retain her seat on her own strength (and this seat has voted Labour since its creation in 1950), it is certainly not a safe bet.
23/04/2017 EPP
99.230.50.38
As long as Dame Margaret is on the ballot, this remains a safe Labour seat.



Navigate to UK 2017 Home | East Midlands Index | Submission

United Kingdom General Election - 2017
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2017 - Email Webmaster