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United Kingdom General Election - 2017

Mansfield


Prediction Changed
2017-06-04 17:58:38
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Bradley, Ben

Meale, Alan

Pepper, Sid

Prabhakar, Anita

Shields, Philip

Incumbent:
Sir Alan Meale

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
29.14 % vs. 70.86 % (Est.)

2015 Election Result
Meale, Alan*
1860339.4%
Clarke, Andrea
1328828.2%
Pepper, Sid
1185025.1%
Rogers, Tony
16423.5%
Frost, Paul
14863.2%
Seymour, Karen
324 .7%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
Meale, J.A.*
1875338.7%
Critchlow, T. Ms.
1274126.3%
Wyatt, M.B.
746915.4%
Camilleri, A.P.
43399.0%
Hamilton, D.
29856.2%
Hill, R.E. Ms.
21084.4%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
22768
7035
6183
Minor Parties6492
Other1033


 

07/06/2017 A
70.35.100.50
Narrow Tory gain, given the combined UKIP-Tory vote share and Brexit result
05/05/2017 JC
162.23.111.62
In the local elections, the Tories picked up 31 seats (a gain of 7, only 3 short of the 34 needed for a majority) while labour lost 8 seats to 23. Lib Dems lost 6 of its 7 seats. The collapse of the UKIP vote has undoubtedly helped the Tories. Labour also suffered heavy losses (thopugh to independents rather than Conservatives) in Mansfield. The results generally bold well for the Conservative. With the collapse of UKIP and the exceptionally strong Leave result here, they will likely be able to surpass Labour.
26/04/2017 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
A seat where the UKIP + Tory Vote adds up to over 50 percent plus it voted for Brexit for 71% and the Labour MP held it by 11% last time, should lead to an easy Tory Pickup.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2017
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