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United Kingdom General Election - 2017

Edinburgh South


Prediction Changed
2017-06-04 13:24:12
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Beal, Alan

Eadie, Jim

Murray, Ian

Smith, Stephanie

Incumbent:
Ian Murray

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
77.85 % vs. 22.15 %

2015 Election Result
Murray, Ian*
1929339.1%
Hay, Neil
1665633.8%
Briggs, Miles
862617.5%
Meyer, Phyl
20904.2%
Subbaraman, Pramod
18233.7%
Marshall, Paul
6011.2%
Fox, Colin
197 .4%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
Murray, I.
1521534.7%
Mackintosh, F.
1489934.0%
Hudson, N.
945221.6%
Howat, S.
33547.7%
Burgess, S.
8812.0%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
14188
10291
13783
2635
Other1801


 

07/06/2017 A
70.35.100.50
Labour's last bastion of support in Scotland... they did reasonably well at the Scottish Parliament elections here, and they are clearly putting all their resources here. I think Murray pulls it off again
05/05/2017 JC
162.23.111.62
While Labour suffered heavy losses throughout Scotland/UK and especially in Edinburgh where it lost its co-first place with the SNP, it seems to have maintained its strength in Edinburgh South.
Southside/Newington and Meadows/Morningside are the two wards that are mostly in the constituency. Conservative made big gains in Southside/Newington while Labour and SNP both made modest gains. Labour and Conservative both lost a few points in Meadows/Morningside while SNP gained a couple.
Labour suffered losses in the other three wards that make up small parts of the riding, but only heavy losses in Fountainbridge/Craiglockhart.
It will likely be a competitive three way fight, but I don't think either SNP or Conservative would make up enough ground. Another factor to Labour's favour is that they can focus their resources to defend their only seat.
26/04/2017 Teddy Boragina
75.119.244.241
No I didn't pick the wrong logo; at current poll levels Labour will not only lose this seat, but they will lose it to the Conservatives. Both the SNP and Labour are down from their results last time, and the Tories are way way up.
26/04/2017 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
This is the last Labour seat in Scotland, this is probably between the SNP and the Tories. The SNP have dropped a little from last election and the Tories have rocketed in Scotland. They might be able to pull this off.



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