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United Kingdom General Election - 2017

East Renfrewshire


Prediction Changed
2017-06-06 18:34:02
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Masterton, Paul

McDougall, Blair

Morton, Aileen

Oswald, Kirsten

Incumbent:
Kirsten Oswald

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
74.32 % vs. 25.68 % (Est.)

2015 Election Result
Oswald, Kirsten
2301340.6%
Murphy, Jim*
1929534.0%
Montgomery, David
1246522.0%
Cowie, Graeme
10691.9%
Malyn, Robert
8881.6%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
Murphy, J.*
2598750.8%
Cook, R.E.
1556730.4%
Macdonald, G.
47209.2%
Archer, G.
45358.9%
MacKay, D.M.
372 .7%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
20815
14158
8659
3245
Other528


 

07/06/2017 A
70.35.100.50
Without Jim Murphy standing for Labour, the Tories should be able to consolidate the anti SNP vote and win here
05/05/2017 JC
162.23.111.62
Conservative jump from one to eight seats in the local election in Renfrewshire, while Labour lost 11 of their 24 seats. While the gaps are too large for them to make up in the other Renfrewshire seats, that is certainly not the case here. If they can replicate their local election gain, it is entirely possible for them to leapfrog Labour to beat SNP.
05/05/2017 Expat
69.159.37.34
From the Guardian after May 5th local elections:
'Party strategists said some of the results suggested the SNP would face a tough battle to hold on to some of the 56 Westminster seats it won in 2015 in June?s general election. Labour was delighted by its result in East Lothian, one of its few target seats in June, and Tory hopes of winning rural seats were buoyed by strong results in Stirling, the Borders and the north-east. In East Renfrewshire, a key general election target seat, they took 15,588 first preference votes against 9,886 for the SNP.'
26/04/2017 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
Swing seat between the Tories-SNP.
26/04/2017 BBC News
212.58.244.23
Better Together boss to stand for Scottish Labour
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-39721544



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