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United Kingdom General Election - 2017
Belfast South
 Prediction Changed |
|
Constituency Profile Candidates: |
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Bailey, Clare |
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Bradshaw, Paula |
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Henderson, Michael |
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Little Pengelly, Emma |
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McDonnell, Alasdair |
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Muilleoir, Mairtin O |
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Salier, Clare |
Incumbent: | |
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Alasdair McDonnell |
2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave) | ||||
| 69.49 % vs. 30.51 % | ||||
| 2015 Election Result | ||||
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McDonnell, Alasdair* | |||
| 9560 | 24.5% | |||
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Bell, Jonathan | |||
| 8654 | 22.2% | |||
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Bradshaw, Paula | |||
| 6711 | 17.2% | |||
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O Muilleoir, Mairtin | |||
| 5402 | 13.9% | |||
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McCune, Rodney | |||
| 3549 | 9.1% | |||
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Bailey, Clare | |||
| 2238 | 5.7% | |||
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Stoker, Bob | |||
| 1900 | 4.9% | |||
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Manton, Ben | |||
| 582 | 1.5% | |||
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Kerr, Lily | |||
| 361 | .9% | |||
| 2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction) | ||||
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McDonnell, A.* | |||
| 14026 | 41.0% | |||
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Spratt, J. | |||
| 8100 | 23.7% | |||
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Bradshaw, P.J. Ms. | |||
| 5910 | 17.3% | |||
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Lo, A. Ms. | |||
| 5114 | 15.0% | |||
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McGibbon, A.M.J. | |||
| 1036 | 3.0% | |||
| 2005 Election Result (transposed) | ||||
 | 10339 | |||
 | 7263 | |||
 | 9104 | |||
 | 2882 | |||
| Minor Parties | 2012 | |||
| Other | 428 | |||
| 07/06/2017 | A 70.35.100.50 | |
| DUP up a little, SDLP down a little... I doubt McDonnell can get the perfect vote split he needs to win again, but this is very unpredictable | |||
| 13/05/2017 | Jack Cox 24.212.227.58 | |
| The only polling from Northern Ireland right now shows the DUP is in first place and they've increased their support from the previous election. With this being a very close race i tend to the think the DUP end up taking this seat. https://www.thesun.ie/news/938542/brexit-fears-dominate-northern-election-as-voters-overwhelming-says-its-their-biggest-concern/ | |||
 | 30/04/2017 | Teddy Boragina 75.119.244.241 | |
| My projection here is ¯\_(?)_/¯ as this is going to probably be the most confusing race in all of Northern Ireland. Both leading parties are down in the polls, while the next three are up in inverse order. I would not be surprised to see all 5 parties end up between 15%-20% of the vote, and for this seat to be won by under 20% | |||
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United Kingdom General Election - 2017
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