Mississauga-Erin Mills

	HASSAN, FARINA
	LIEM, PIETER
	MIAN, IMRAN
	NOWACKI, GRZEGORZ
	SABAWY, SHEREF
	SKURA, BEN
	YUILL, LIBBY

Incumbent(s):

	Mississauga-Erindale    Harinder S. Takhar    (99.98% of voters in new riding)    2014/2008 Predictions
	Halton    Hon Indira Naidoo-Harris    (0.02% of voters in new riding)    2014/2008 Predictions

Reference:

Population (2011):			117199
2014 Election Result: Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton
		17429	49.26%
		10385	29.35%
		5361	15.15%
		826	2.33%
	OTHERS	1385	3.91%
	Total Transposed	35384
	Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed
	Mississauga-Erindale
		17429
		10385
		5361
		826
	Others	1385
	Total Transposed	35384
Federal Election Result (2015):
		Iqra Khalid
		27520	49.70%
		Bob Dechert **
		21716	39.20%
		Michelle Bilek
		5206	9.40%
		Andrew Roblin
		905	1.60%

	02/06/2018	Dr. Bear 184.175.13.231
I'm watching this one for a few days...I'm not ready to call it PC yet... The models are showing the PCs in the mid thirty range but a clear Liberal - NDP split just shy of 30% each. With no liberal incumbent and the OLP officially in save-the-furniture mode, we could see a significant chunk of that liberal support going orange. I have a hard time fathoming this riding going NDP, but this race has forced me to significantly change my opinions about other "sure-fire" races.
	5/16/2018	Latif 24.114.75.232
Most of the polls are predicting a win for Ford at provincial level but not in this riding. PC candidate is gradually losing its grounds due to an aggressive campaign of Liberals. Being a long time resident of this riding, I can easily say that Liberals are still strong here.
	20/04/2018	Joseph J 209.250.132.2
Takhar is not running. In his absence this riding will definitely go conservative. This was the first riding (part of Mississauga Erindale) that federally was won by Dechart way before the Harpar sweep. Also because of very hostile and divided liberal nomination battle all the muslim voters will not support Imran the Liberal candidate in this riding.
	18/04/2018	A.S. 99.225.48.35
Is Harinder Takhar running again; and if so, would it be here? Though at this point, the bigger Liberal asset might be Iqra Khalid's powerhouse federal representation--though that might not be enough to prevent this riding from being ethnoburban grist for the DoFo mill, Takhar or no Takhar. (Heck, even Takhar has been prone to more sluggish mandates than one'd expect from a ethno-bloc-rallying leadership contender.)
	30/03/2018	Stevo 165.225.76.199
Another non-descript Peel Region seat. Like all the others in Brampton and Mississauga, this is liable to turn on a dime regardless of the impressive Liberal margin from 2014. It was first Peel riding to turn blue federally in 2008 ahead of all the others in 2011 (though a controversial Liberal candidate helped).
	26/03/2018	Innocent bystander 67.215.130.68
The post-Ford-wins polls are out, and the results are horrific for Peel Liberals, showing a net swing to the Tories of over 40 points (-18, +24). If, and admittedly a large 'if', these results are consistent across the region, the Liberal Peel caucus goes from 7 (out of 8 seats) to nonexistent.
	26/02/2018	Art 70.53.70.178
Based upon the latest Final financial reports filed with Elections Ontario, indicating financial readiness to wage a campaign, Erin Mills will go PC. The Liberals have no final report available.
	15/12/2017	M. Lunn 174.7.110.151
Unlike the ridings to the north and west this is fairly close to a bellwether with usually both the PCs and Liberals doing a bit better than their provincewide numbers and NDP much worse. If the PCs maintain their lead in the polls they should pick this up, but if they falter the Liberals could hold this. So lean PC at the moment but Liberals still have a chance.