Corriveau, François
	Côté, Gabriel
	Gélineau, Jacques
	Gill, Marilène
	McCool, Colleen
	Savard, Dave
Incumbent:
	Marilène Gill

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			92518 94766 45156 39946 247655.33 km² 0.4/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Marilène Gill	17338	41.30%
	Mario Tremblay	12343	29.40%
	Jonathan Genest-Jourdain **	7359	17.50%
	Yvon Boudreau	4317	10.30%
	Nathan Grills	673	1.60%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		4502	11.63%
		18458	47.67%
		2131	5.50%
		12654	32.68%
		973	2.51%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Manicouagan    (87.82% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Montmorency-Charlevoix-Haute-Côte-Nord    (12.18% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	18/10/19	Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188
At 1 time the political home for Brian Mulroney the seat has been a Bloc strong hold since the 90's sans the orange crush election of 2011. I think in 2019 amid the BQ surge they hold on here.
	15/10/19	Sam 213.83.85.149
Not always in agreement with the interesting takes A.S. provides but he's spot on here. Easy Bloc win given their current good conditions
	07/09/19	A.S. 99.225.32.21
There's something a bit ‘off’ about the likelihood of the best Bloc riding in 2015 being taken out by the Cons this time, particularly given how it all stuck to the PQ provincially--that is, Corriveau's brief byelected stint was the last time *anyone* on the CPC/ADQ/CAQ axis was elected to any parliament around here. And while Corriveau *could* benefit from CPC spillover energy from the Capitale-Nationale and the Saguenay, there's also something of a resource-town-and-reserves ‘removedness’ that's more akin to Northern relative to Southern Ontario, or Churchill relative to the rest of Manitoba--it's all just a Tadoussac ferry ride too far away. Plus, that which *isn't* Bloc-congenial (the reserves, the Golfe-du-Saint-Laurent eastern extremities) tends more Lib than Con. Of course, if you want proof that a Conservative victory isn't un-doable in Manicouagan, just think back to Brian Mulroney in the 1980s...
	29/05/19	Laurence Putnam 96.53.49.70
Corriveau as a candidate is a coup for the Tories and will no doubt give them a stronger result here than they would have otherwise expected. There's a chance that soft nationalist votes persuaded away from the Bloc to vote for Corriveau could let the Libs come up the middle, but I think for now the smart money is still on the Bloc.
	13/04/19	OttawaGuy94 184.146.168.170
This is probably a safe bet for the BQ with the Conservatives finishing a comfortable second. Corriveau did well personally the provincial seat overlapping this one which he held as an ADQ MNA for a year, which shows he has some personal base. But it won't be enough to pick it up.
	27/02/19	Sam 109.153.201.24
This is the riding I would be most confident in predicting a Bloc win. It went PQ at provincial level last year, and was the Bloc's best riding . Although this has been held by the NDP, the main challengers appear to be the Liberals. They have been gaining in the North but not by a significant enough margin to oust Marilene Gill, who will have a lot of party resources as the Bloc tries to win back Official Party Status.