Election Prediction Project

2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 01:44:02

Constituency Profile


Boutet, Ginette

Gallo, Miranda

Kokotsis, Georgia

Lambropoulos, Emmanuella

Mikus, Christopher

Miljours, Thérèse

Serour, Richard


Emmanuella Lambropoulos

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



42.96 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Stéphane Dion ** 2483261.60%
Jimmy Yu 786719.50%
Alain Ackad 464611.50%
Pascal-Olivier Dumas-Dubreuil 18794.70%
John Tromp 9772.40%
Fernand Deschamps 1290.30%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 1400.43%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

17/10/19 Tony Ducey
Stephane Dion's old riding. He's moved on but I think his replacement will hold on here rather easily.
02/10/19 R.O.
This used to be Stephane Dion’s riding , he’s off to Europe but it’s still a very safe liberal riding. It stayed liberal in the 2017 by election rather easily.
02/09/19 A.S.
Far from improving in the byelection, the Con share was virtually identical (and that the Lib share went tokenly down had more to do with Green bottom-feeding). But as is typical of parts of the W Island these days, the CPC vote stands out less for its size than its concentration (in this case, a blip of Jewish-poll blue in the Rue Bertrand area). I wonder if there's some subliminal message behind the ‘distinctness’ of Jewish Con polls in solid Lib ridings recalling the ‘distinctness’ of PQ/Bloc polls in the same...
07/06/19 seasaw
While the CPC improved in the by-election, and they may improve even more in the general election, it's still not going to be enough to prevent a Liberal landslide
14/04/19 Sam
Stephane Dion always performed very well here and even with less prominence, there's no reason why Emmanuella Lambropoulos won't also win here. The Montreal by-election results are a good sign.
17/02/19 JW
Montreal West Island constituencies are generally reliably Liberal.

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