Alleslev, Leona
	Brown, Aaron
	Flemming, Timothy
	Korovitsyn, Serge
	Patil, Priya
	Taylor Roy, Leah
Incumbent:
	Leona Alleslev

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			115227 106064 36164 35222 94.63 km² 1217.7/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Leona Alleslev	24132	47.30%
	Costas Menegakis **	23039	45.20%
	Brenda Power	2912	5.70%
	Randi Ramdeen	654	1.30%
	Kyle Bowles	243	0.50%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		20223	51.51%
		6263	15.95%
		10941	27.87%
		1364	3.47%
Other		472	1.20%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Oak Ridges-Markham    (52.73% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Richmond Hill    (23.95% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Newmarket-Aurora    (23.32% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Michael Parsa	25214	56.03%
	Naheed Yaqubian	9718	21.6%
	Katrina Sale	8116	18.04%
	Stephanie Nicole Duncan	1195	2.66%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		15758	45.72%
		13136	38.11%
		3629	10.53%
		1195	3.47%
Other		747	2.17%

	20/10/19	Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188
The floor crossing won't matter here, the CPC will hold this seat.
	18/10/19	R.O. 24.146.17.200
This riding was very close in 2015 when Leona Alleslev first elected as a liberal. a few years later she switched parties and is now the conservative candidate. She seems like a strong candidate in a riding that seems more conservative than liberal. Trudeau has visited the riding so far , not sure if Scheer has although he was in several nearby York region ridings this campaign.
	21/09/19	S.J. 142.113.233.94
The Liberals are polling consistently ahead in Ontario, and Alleslev’s floor-crossing may have affected her personal popularity. The Liberal candidate is a business-oriented kind of Liberal and that kind of politics plays well in these parts. Not to mention, a recent Mainstreet Poll showed a statistical tie here. I think it’s going to be a nail-biter, maybe a narrow Conservative hold, but by no means a sure thing.
	08/08/20	A.S. 99.225.32.21
Second floor-crossing this century for the Stronach estate (which is in the NE of the riding--the first one being, of course, Belinda going the other direction). I'll allow for *some* Ford-backlash benefit of the doubt; though going by the last provincial election, if it happens, it'll be based in the Aurora end--and that's the "stable" part, not the "growing" part...
	18/07/19	Laurence Putnam 96.53.49.70
Liberal turncoat will win big on her new team.
	06/04/19	Legolas 109.70.100.19
While the Liberals would love to take Alleslev down and probably a seat they are looking hard to get a star candidate in (especially with it being one of the few seats with no Liberal incumbent in Greater Toronto) the SNC affair may have taken the air out of the room. The significant Chinese population in this seat have also ditched the Liberals in droves for the provincial PCs last election, and it should helo Alleslev win re-election with her new team.
	31/03/19	Sam 109.146.233.52
I agree with the others, York is slowly becoming a strong area for the Conservatives and Leona Alleslev be re-elected, under the Conservative banner this time. Although it's not the reason why she defected, I suspect she would've lost as a Liberal; Menegakis would have ran here instead of the other Richmond Hill riding.
	06/03/19	MF 69.159.84.69
Leona Alleslev should have no problem with her party switch. York Region has been trending Conservative compared to the rest of the GTA. The PCs got well over 50% here provincially and the Conservatives came in very close during the 2015 red wave.
	23/02/19	905 198.16.218.132
This seat will very likely go Conservative, even if the CPC does not form government. In 2015, Liberal candidate Leona Alleslev won this riding with 47% of the vote, but the Conservative candidate came really close with 45%. Leona Alleslev crossed the floor from Liberal to Conservative in 2018. The Ontario PC Party won this riding with 56% in the June 2018 election