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References:
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 | 21/10/19 |
Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188 |
| I think Mccoleman will hold on here despite the latest poll showing a tie here. The NDP were close here last time and in the provincial election. I think all that considered will lead to a divided vote on the left. |
 | 21/10/19 |
Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188 |
| I think Mccoleman will hold on here despite the latest poll showing a tie here. The NDP were close here last time and in the provincial election. I think all that considered will lead to a divided vote on the left. |
 | 17/10/19 |
Manny Toba 12.10.199.101 |
| Liberals, Conservatives in statistical tie in Brantford-Brant, suggests new Mainstreet poll. |
 | 16/10/19 |
R.O. 24.146.17.200 |
| Phil McColeman has been mp of this riding since 2008, before that it had been liberal and actually a longtime ndp riding in the 70s and 80s. its actually not that rural , mostly includes the city of Brantford and the Six Nations area. a lot of the rural polls became part of Oxford riding in last redistribution. Ndp have a new candidate this year and liberal from 2015 has returned. No party leaders appear to have been to the riding , suspect it will likely stay cpc as mp has held the riding for some time. The provincial riding also went pc in 2018 which was perhaps a surprise as ndp did well in the Hamilton region that year. |
 | 18/08/20 |
A.S. 99.225.32.21 |
| Here, in 2015, was the archetypal split-opposition circumstance: a strong NDP candidate/weak federal campaign vs a weak Liberal candidate/strong federal campaign, in mutual self-cancellation. We've seen that before--think of all the disastrous 'strategic' ONDP endorsements vs Mike Harris in 1999; and as in that election, the resulting confusion might even have *boosted* the safe-and-sure Conservative vote. Indeed, Brantford's been a place of especial post-Laytonian NDP-supertargeted heartbreak lately--Alex Felsky came ohsoclose provincially in '18 and earned the party's highest losing share in the process. And who knows what now under either Jagmeet or Justin; but I *really* feel impelled to withhold judgment, because there's something just a touch illusory about McColeman's 'inevitability', or that of rust-belt/blue-collar conservativism in general. It's a 'subtractable' mandate; just that nobody's figured out the right subtraction formula yet. (Though provincially in 2014, a lot of surprise-victor Liberals--and the NDP in Oshawa--*did* figure it out. So, never say never.) |
 | 16/03/19 |
Sam 86.156.206.227 |
| Even with the split left, the Conservatives are doing well enough in the region that they should hold this. Phil McColeman has been a strong MP for the area and should increase his vote share. |
 | 26/02/19 |
seasaw 99.225.244.232 |
| This used to be an NDP riding, then became Liberal and now it's Tory. Phil McColeman is a popular incumbent and that should be enough for a CPC victory |
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