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Battle River-Crowfoot
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 02:02:54
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Clarke, Dianne

Fryzuk, Natasha

Kurek, Damien

Michaud, David A.

Nelson, Geordie


Incumbent:

Kevin Sorenson

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

110223
107140

47750
43129

51977.75 km²
2.1/km²


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Kevin Sorenson ** 4755280.90%
Andy Kowalski 55059.40%
Katherine Swampy 38446.50%
Gary Kelly 18683.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

3964683.09%
46949.84%
10272.15%
18593.90%
Other 4861.02%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Crowfoot
   (65.87% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Vegreville-Wainwright
   (33.61% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Medicine Hat
   (0.5% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Wetaskiwin
   (0.02% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


21/10/19 Tony Ducey
24.137.73.188
While Kevin Sorenson is not running here anymore the CPC will still keep the riding.
11/10/19 R.O.
24.146.17.200
Actually this riding has no incumbent this year as long time mp Kevin Sorenson retired, Damien Kurek is the new cpc candidate for this riding. Being that its rural alberta , likely to stay conservative.
09/10/19 Laurence Putnam
96.53.49.70
Only re-posting to take issue with A.S' most recent posting...in the interests of historical accuracy, you cannot possible be comparing Jack Ramsay's ‘floor crossing’ to that of either Horner or the one you speculate Sorenson to be contemplating. Ramsay was ejected from caucus after a rape conviction! Associating his motives for ‘crossing the floor’ to any other MP past or present is absurd. Any suggestion that Kevin Sorenson would consider crossing the floor is equally absurd by itself.
31/08/19 A.S.
99.225.32.21
Actually, don't rule out the possibility of PPC reducing Sorenson's share to 3/4 or even 2/3 of the vote. Below that, though, it'd be likelier if Sorenson himself *for whatever reason* jumped ship to PPC. (Not that futile party-jumping's new to these parts: consider Jack Horner in 1979, and Jack Ramsay in 2000)
27/03/19 Laurence Putnam
50.68.187.24
In the last five contests, Kevin Sorenson has not once dipped below 80% of the vote. You could define a Liberal result of 25% as a tremendous success in this riding, were it ever to happen. It won't.
In fact, the PPC have a realistic shot of placing second here, albeit second by a wiiiiiiiiiide margin.
16/03/19 Sam
86.156.206.227
This is the best Conservative riding in the country. They'll win again.
26/02/19 Craig
130.18.104.137
It's the heart of rural Alberta...what more can you say. Unless the PPC can find a star candidate (they will very likely finish 2nd here), this should be one of the best ridings for the CPC. Could an Alberta or Western separatist do well? Perhaps. Trudeau is despised here.
Combined, the 'progressive' parties will be lucky to crack 10%.
18/02/19 JW
45.41.168.96
Rural Aberta riding. Enough said.



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