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Calgary Shepard
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 02:03:16
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Arnold, Del

Kmiec, Tom

Scott, Kyle

Smith, David Brian

Tanaka, Evelyn


Incumbent:

Tom Kmiec

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

147520
110364

54774
53324

180.70 km²
816.4/km²


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Tom Kmiec 4370665.90%
Jerome James 1637924.70%
Dany Allard 45326.80%
Graham MacKenzie 17342.60%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2990575.51%
440711.13%
28467.19%
22025.56%
Other 2400.61%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Calgary Southeast
   (63.92% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Calgary East
   (35.61% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Crowfoot
   (0.47% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


13/10/19 R.O.
24.146.17.200
Tom Kmiec was first elected in 2015 in this newly created riding that went cpc by a large margin , likely to stay cpc this year.
16/09/19 A.S.
99.225.32.21
The only Calgary seat where CPC swept the polls in 2015. Let that fact speak for itself.
19/07/19 Laurence Putnam
96.53.49.70
I'm going to predict Conservative in 2019 - and what the heck...I'll even go out on a limb here and go so far as to predict that it stays Conservative in 2023 too.
08/04/19 Sam
86.188.99.248
Apart from Skyview, outer Calgary delivers great margins for the Conservatives, particularly so here.
23/02/19 JW
45.41.168.101
The CPC won 60%+ last time during a downswing election. Not going to loose this seat this time.



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