Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Avalon
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-06-14 14:17:35
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Chapman, Matthew

McDonald, Ken


Incumbent:

Kenneth McDonald

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

86494
81590

44009
34766

6457.79 km²
13.4/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Kenneth McDonald ** 1912246.30%
Matthew Chapman 1285531.10%
Lea Mary Movelle 714217.30%
Greg Malone 22155.40%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Ken McDonald 2352855.90%
Scott Andrews ** 750117.80%
Jeannie Baldwin 607514.40%
Lorraine E. Barnett 467011.10%
Krista Byrne-Puumala 2280.50%
Jennifer McCreath 840.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1321437.09%
1016428.53%
1182033.18%
2250.63%
Other 2000.56%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Avalon
   (73.03% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   St. John's East
   (26.97% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


13/06/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
L'Atlantique demeure un terreau fertile pour les Libéraux. Avalon, dans l'Est de l'île, est assurée de demeurer libérale. Avec le retrait de Harris à St.Jonh, encore moins de phénomène d'attraction du vote vers le NPD dans les circonscriptions limitrophes.
11/06/21 VanIsler
207.194.253.26
Easy Liberal hold. The Tories missed out by not nominating former Premier Paul Davis here.



Navigate to Canada 2021 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2021 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2021 - Email Webmaster