Ruby, Jamie
	Simms, Scott
	Small, Clifford
Incumbent:
	Scott Simms

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			77680 78073 42939 33459 39395.65 km² 2.00/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Scott Simms **	16514	48.30%
	Alex Bracci	12081	35.30%
	Noel Joe	4224	12.40%
	Byron White	1363	4.00%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Scott Simms **	26523	74.80%
	Kevin George O'Brien	6479	18.30%
	Claudette Menchenton	2175	6.10%
	Elizabeth Perry	271	0.80%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		8726	30.32%
		3920	13.62%
		15805	54.92%
		253	0.88%
Other		74	0.26%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Bonavista-Gander-Grand Falls-Windsor    (72.93% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Humber-St. Barbe-Baie Verte    (17.77% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Random-Burin-St. George's    (9.3% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	07/09/21	Terry K 174.94.21.65
Even with Liberal support collapsing by 10 points in the riding since the start of the election, they still have a sizeable lead over the Conservatives. This historically red riding should be a hold.
	03/09/21	LD 67.215.8.19
Scott Simms has been around for a long time, and by all means appears to be well liked in his riding. A bit of a lackluster result in 2019, however I don’t think he’s in trouble here. Should be an easy hold.
	19/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Not quite the same scale of '19 Con power surge as in BBT--though some were expecting more simply riffing off '15 figures (when the still-minimal CPC figure had a boost from an MLA bearing the standard. And the story's the same here: if the surge wasn't enough to topple the Libs in '19, the pressure's likely to have subsided by now.
	13/06/21	J.F. Breton 38.23.227.9
L'Atlantique demeure un terreau fertile pour les Libéraux. Le centre de l'île est assuré de demeurer libéral.
	11/06/21	VanIsler 207.194.253.26
Liberal hold. Scott Simms is a popular guy, and the Tories are not running nearly strong enough candidates to make this sort of seat competitive without a Blue Wave.