Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Drummond
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-29 20:00:33
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Berri, Mustapha

Champoux, Martin

Choquette, François

Clermont, Nathalie

Joyal, Josée

Marcoux, Sylvain

Munger, Lucas


Incumbent:

Martin Champo

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

103397
98681

47581
45334

1600.26 km²
64.60/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Martin Champo 2457444.80%
William Morales 955217.40%
Jessica Ebacher 908316.60%
François Choquette ** 871615.90%
Frédérik Bernier 18563.40%
Steeve Paquet 5251.00%
Réal Batrhino 2700.50%
Lucas Munger 2480.50%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

François Choquette ** 1583330.50%
Pierre Côté 1379326.50%
Diane Bourgeois 1186222.80%
Pascale Déry 922117.70%
Émile Coderre 12702.40%


2011 Results (redistributed)

755515.93%
2448951.64%
39798.39%
1041021.95%
9872.08%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Drummond
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


15/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
I allowed for a *really* low victory share here, but the Bloc surge lay waste to that. And another case of a 2019-defeated Dipper (and 4th in a 3-way-battle-for-2nd situation) brushing himself off and trying again, and likely handing it to the Bloc once again--unless Jagmeet's as effective at conveying to voters that Blanchet is useless as Layton/Mulcair were at conveying to voters that Duceppe was useless. Long shot.
25/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
Peu de risque pour le Bloc dans cette circonscription, la division du vote entre Libéraux et Consevateurs (Rayes n'est pas loin) avantageant le Bloc. Réélection du député sortant.



Navigate to Canada 2021 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2021 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2021 - Email Webmaster