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Joliette
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-11 22:30:45
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Beaudet, Alexis

Bourgeois, Michel

Coutu, Manon

Leclerc, Maxime

Materne, Roger

Poirier, ?rica

Ste-Marie, Gabriel

Théoret, Yanick


Incumbent:

Gabriel Ste-Marie

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

104136
100683

59537
47067

8206.16 km²
12.70/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Gabriel Ste-Marie 3359058.20%
Michel Bourgeois 1299522.50%
Jean-Martin Masse 51769.00%
Julienne Soumaoro 26234.50%
Érica Poirier 23434.10%
Sylvain Prescott 4980.90%
Paul Savard 4740.80%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Gabriel Ste-Marie 1887533.30%
Michel Bourgeois 1599528.20%
Danielle Landreville 1456625.70%
Soheil Eid 570510.10%
Mathieu Morin 13352.40%
Robert D. Morais 2130.40%


2011 Results (redistributed)

49199.69%
2381346.92%
32446.39%
1675133.01%
20253.99%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Joliette
   (99.99% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


03/09/21 Sam
188.30.14.227
Actually Joliette was different to Repentigny provincially in that it wasn't totally a CAQ bastion - PQ won the Joliette provincial seat after all. But that's a point of irrelevance - expect the Bloc to definitely hold this.
01/09/21 R.O.
24.146.13.237
Gabriel St Marie was first elected in 2015 and re elected in 2019 by a larger margin. Riding has a long history of being a bloc Quebecois riding minus 2011 when it went ndp so likely to stay bloc this year.
15/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
A class-of-'15 Bloc seat that earned '19's highest Bloc share; let that sink in.
11/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
Gabriel Ste-Marie, député de Joliette, a annoncé qu’il portera de nouveau les couleurs du Bloc Québécois lors des prochaines élections fédérales. Joliette, circoncription de la couronne élargie de Montréal, très nationaliste, bastion de la CAQ où d'ailleurs se retrouvent de nombreux poids lourds, notamment le premier ministre François Legault. Large majorité au dernier scrutin, victoire aisée à venir.



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