Bégin, Stéphane
	Bélanger, Line
	Gravel, Louise
	Ruel, Marieve
	Simard, Mario
	Yelle, Marie-Josée
Incumbent:
	Mario Sima

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			89818 87596 43362 39306 39196.14 km² 2.30/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Mario Sima	17577	35.60%
	Karine Trudel **	12141	24.60%
	Philippe Gagnon	10338	20.90%
	Vincent Garneau	7849	15.90%
	Lyne Bourdages	1009	2.00%
	Sylvie Théodore	453	0.90%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Karine Trudel	14039	29.20%
	Marc Pettersen	13700	28.50%
	Jean-François Caron	11202	23.30%
	Ursula Larouche	8124	16.90%
	Carmen Budilean	656	1.40%
	Marielle Couture	382	0.80%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		15926	34.14%
		19829	42.50%
		1264	2.71%
		8985	19.26%
		601	1.29%
Other		52	0.11%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Jonquière-Alma    (78.03% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Chicoutimi-Le Fjord    (17.53% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Roberval-Lac-Saint-Jean    (4.44% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	10/09/21	QuebecCityOliver 184.162.205.23
People seem to fail to realize that this area is sort of like a mini-redux of small-C conservatives like Québec City. And with Legault saying vote blue, I can see the Conservatives winning this riding and its neighbour. Martel might not be a one-election wonder, but it will be much more impressive if the Conservatives get two in the region. People always seem to forget he coached the Chicoutimi Saguenéens to victory.
	07/09/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Just noticed there was a mainstreet poll done for this riding perhaps closer than people realise and surprising numbers . 30 % Louise Gravel conservative , 27 % Mario Simard bloc mp , 26 % Stephane Begin liberal . numbers for other parties less than 10 % https://ipolitics.ca/2021/09/03/tories-leading-in-two-key-seats-but-polls-are-close/
	06/09/21	George 104.232.37.216
A link to the riding poll showing a small Conservative lead - TCTC https://ipolitics.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/Jonquiere-iPolitics-03September2021.pdf
	03/09/21	LFCottawa 174.114.107.158
Not sure why this is not in the TCTC category. Mainstreet did an individual riding poll in iPolitics today. Shows the CPC with a 3 point lead over the Bloc, and 4 over the LPC.
	02/09/21	Sam 188.30.14.227
You might be inclined to argue no party had a complete disaster here last time - the NDP did reasonably well in the circumstances and 15% for the Liberals wasn't quite so bad. Though without the good candidates for the NDP and CPC that vote will migrate, and the Bloc can breathe a bit easier in spite of their apparent trouble.
	17/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Karine Trudel was actually a sleeper overachiever in defeat in '19 (the 5th best NDP incumbent in QC, in fact)--but one assumes much of that NDP vote will migrate to the now-incumbent Bloc. And all the more likely given how it was CPC in 3rd that year, not the Libs. (A star-candidate CPC; but, no matter.)
	23/05/21	J.F. Breton 38.23.227.9
Le NPD n'étant plus un facteur majeur à considérer, le Bloc a toutes les chances de conserver cette circonscription. La division du vote entre les Libéraux et les Conservateurs devrait par ailleurs aider.