Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Jonquière
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-24 14:10:41
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Simard, Mario


Incumbent:

Mario Sima

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

89818
87596

43362
39306

39196.14 km²
2.30/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Mario Sima 1757735.60%
Karine Trudel ** 1214124.60%
Philippe Gagnon 1033820.90%
Vincent Garneau 784915.90%
Lyne Bourdages 10092.00%
Sylvie Théodore 4530.90%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Karine Trudel 1403929.20%
Marc Pettersen 1370028.50%
Jean-François Caron 1120223.30%
Ursula Larouche 812416.90%
Carmen Budilean 6561.40%
Marielle Couture 3820.80%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1592634.14%
1982942.50%
12642.71%
898519.26%
6011.29%
Other 520.11%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Jonquière-Alma
   (78.03% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Chicoutimi-Le Fjord
   (17.53% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Roberval-Lac-Saint-Jean
   (4.44% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


23/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
Le NPD n'étant plus un facteur majeur à considérer, le Bloc a toutes les chances de conserver cette circonscription. La division du vote entre les Libéraux et les Conservateurs devrait par ailleurs aider.



Navigate to Canada 2021 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2021 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2021 - Email Webmaster