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Lévis-Lotbinière
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-10 21:56:01
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Bergeron, Charles-Eugène

Brochu, Carl

Daigle, Ghislain

Dumont, Guylaine

Gourde, Jacques

Lamarche, Samuel

Lemay, Mariève

Simard, Benoit


Incumbent:

Jacques Gourde

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

113528
107593

47364
45445

2066.29 km²
54.90/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Jacques Gourde ** 2829744.60%
François-Noël Brau 1592125.10%
Ghislain Daigle 1076116.90%
Christel Marchand 43556.90%
Marc Fontaine 22473.50%
Patrick Kerr 19083.00%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Jacques Gourde ** 3135750.10%
Claude Boucher 1356221.70%
Hélène Bilodeau 924614.80%
Steve Gagné 716311.40%
Tina Biello 11241.80%
François Belanger 1360.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2246939.88%
2168838.49%
28675.09%
838314.88%
9361.66%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Lotbinière-Chutes-de-la-Chaudière
   (99.97% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Mégantic-L'Érable
   (0.03% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


02/09/21 R.O.
24.146.13.237
Jacques Gourde has been mp for this rural Quebec riding since 2006 and re elected in every election since. Well known incumbent by now so likely to stay cpc
17/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
‘In Gourde We Trust’. Though perhaps lacking the airtightness of the Blaney machine--that is, falling over 5 points from '15 rather than retaining a majority; maybe a little too much Montreal-Quebec-axis oxygen getting in the way, or too much oxygen seeping across the Quebec Bridge into places like Charny. But still with a nearly 20-point margin over the Bloc, it doesn't exactly signal anything ominous.
09/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
Jacques Gourde n'est pas particulièrement flamboyant et présent médiatiquement, mais il a l'avantage d'être dans une région très favorable aux Conservateurs. Tout comme son voisin Blaney, sa réélection semble assurée.



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