|This hasn't been mentioned on here yet, but the Liberals have anywhere from a 9 to 13 point lead in Pontiac according to a Mainstreet riding poll released a week ago (decided 9% lead, decided & leaning 11% lead and 'who would you vote for today' = 13% lead). Even with the retiring MP's debacles, this looks like a safe Liberal hold with perhaps a smaller margin of victory this time around.|
|Perhaps self explanatory that when your known as the ‘ naked mp ‘ in Ottawa you don’t exactly have a future there . so not really a surprise that Will Amos decided not to run again. So mostly new candidates this year Sophie Chatel for liberals , Michael Gauthier conservative and Gabrielle Desjardins bloc . somewhat of a swing riding so rather early to predict the race here.|
|Well, that's it for the ‘honourable member’ jokes. Though Amos did lose his '15 majority in '19; but it didn't matter because of how the opposition was split--and the whole Lawrence Cannon-era hangover element of the Cons chancing into a distant 2nd on those same old rural Ottawa Valley Anglo-fumes. That is, Liberal status quo reigns here, whomever's the honourable member or possessor thereof. (Though I don't know how many instances there are of so many polls going to the opposition despite an over 30-point margin and nearly 3:1 advantage--the Cons clustered in rural Anglo territory, the awakened Bloc clustered out Maniwaki way. All cancelled out by the outskirts of Gatineau.)|
|Liberal MP Will Amos announced today that he will not seek re-election:|
It's not a total surprise given his recent controversy in appearing naked on camera in the virtual House of Commons meetings. Given the large Liberal wins in 2015 & 2019, this riding probably still leans Liberal for now.
|Peu de risque ici pour les Libéraux. La seule circonscription qui sera l'objet d'une lutte en Outaouais sera Argenteuil-La Petite Nation. Victoire libérale sans trop d'encombre.|