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Vimy
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-22 10:56:18
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Aliev, Vassif

Bandou, Rachid

El-Helou, Rima

Koutrakis, Annie

Morales-Loaiza, Alejandro


Incumbent:

Annie Koutrakis

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

111867
104373

49157
46907

34.11 km²
3279.50/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Annie Koutrakis 2649047.70%
Claire-Emmanuelle Beauli 1545527.80%
Rima El-Helou 595110.70%
Vassif Aliev 47798.60%
Faiza R'Guiba 21253.80%
Suzanne Brunelle 7331.30%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Eva Nassif 2508246.20%
France Duhamel 1139121.00%
Barek Kaddouri 906816.70%
Anthony Mavros 726213.40%
José Núñez Melo ** 12802.40%
Brian Jenkins 2600.50%


2011 Results (redistributed)

602012.76%
2013842.70%
959820.35%
1025621.75%
9081.93%
Other 2390.51%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Laval
   (77.74% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Laval-Les Îles
   (12.35% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Alfred-Pellan
   (9.91% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


15/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
As always, Laval is moderate at heart--even variations on the ‘moderation’ explain its particular kind of we're-all-in-this-together amenability to the Mulroney, Bloc, and Layton waves over the years. And of course, Justinmania in '15--but that's kind of like ur-moderation, the most essential state thereof. Doesn't mean it can't shift away again someday; we're not exactly talking about Saint-Laurent or Saint-Leonard here--but those are exceptional cases. Whereas Vimy is exceptional in its ‘unexceptionality’. And at the moment, Liberal is the unexceptional choice.
18/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
Les changements démographiques inhérents à la région de Laval favorisent les Libéraux fédéraux. À moins d'un raz-de-marée bloquiste au Québec, victoire assez facile des Libéraux à Laval.



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