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Ajax
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-16 23:28:24
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Holland, Mark


Incumbent:

Mark Holland

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

119677
109600

38105
37549

67.00 km²
1786.40/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Mark Holland ** 3519857.70%
Tom Dingwall 1586426.00%
Shokat Malik 703311.50%
Maia Knight 20403.30%
Susanna Russo 5881.00%
Allen Keith Hadley 1860.30%
Intab Ali 1110.20%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Mark Holland 3145855.90%
Chris Alexander ** 1937434.40%
Stephanie Brown 46308.20%
Jeff Hill 7881.40%
Bob Kesic 570.10%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1953544.23%
662415.00%
1675437.93%
12002.72%
Other 530.12%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Ajax-Pickering
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Rod Phillips 1907839.05%
Monique Hughes 1513030.97%
Joe Dickson * 1260725.8%
Stephen Leahy 12242.51%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

2082551.77%
1147128.52%
654416.27%
11742.92%
Other 2140.53%


09/06/21 Chris N
24.36.32.209
Holland won this riding by a strong margin in 2015 and 2019. Unless the Conservatives can reach 2011 Harper-level support, it is likely to stay Liberal next election.
15/05/21 MF
65.92.13.223
Ajax had the top Liberal vote share in the 905 last time. Many South Asian and Black Torontonians have moved to Ajax.



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