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Mississauga-Malton
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-29 20:05:21
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Gaheer, Iqwinder


Incumbent:

Navdeep Bains

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

118240
118046

35449
34051

97.20 km²
1216.50/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Navdeep Bains ** 2789057.50%
Tom Varughese 1252825.80%
Nikki Clarke 610312.60%
Christina Porter 12512.60%
Tahir Gora 3690.80%
Prudence Buchanan 3060.60%
Frank Chilelli 900.20%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Navdeep Bains 2616559.10%
Jagdish Grewal 1170126.40%
Dianne Douglas 545012.30%
Heather Mercer 7371.70%
Naresh Tharani 2030.50%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1371537.44%
858423.43%
1347836.79%
7442.03%
Other 1110.30%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Mississauga-Brampton South
   (48.46% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Bramalea-Gore-Malton
   (33.13% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Mississauga-Streetsville
   (18.42% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Deepak Anand 1471239.12%
Nikki Clarke 1235132.84%
Amrit Mangat * 781320.77%
Caroline Roach 11873.16%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

1447048.27%
652521.76%
730324.36%
8382.80%
Other 8452.82%


03/08/20 A.S.
207.164.22.51
A demonstration of what a non-disgraced CPC candidate can do: they won 3 polls in '19, thwarting a second consecutive Lib sweep. A demonstration of the limits of NDP idealism: after running a strong, competitive 2nd provincially in '18, Nikki Clarke barely did better federally than her '15 counterpart. (It's still their likeliest-to-be-competitive in Mississauga, but...)
06/06/21 Chris N
24.36.32.209
Many like myself were surprised to see Navdeep Bains say he wouldn't run again. He seemed like a rising star with possible leadership ambitions. Regardless, even without an incumbent, the Liberals have the clear advantage given their huge 2019 margin.
29/05/21 KXS
99.247.196.32
Navdeep Bains is not running again, but I don't think that's going to make a big difference. This is the least CPC friendly of all six Mississauga ridings.



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