Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Niagara West
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-08 22:20:35
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Allison, Dean

Bingham, Ian


Incumbent:

Dean Allison

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

90838
86533

34827
33588

989.15 km²
91.80/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Dean Allison ** 2444745.30%
Ian Bingham 1742932.30%
Nameer Rahman 654012.10%
Terry Teather 36206.70%
Harold Jonker 10191.90%
Miles Morton 8691.60%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Dean Allison ** 2473248.80%
Phil Rose 1658132.70%
Nameer Rahman 580211.50%
Sid Frere 15113.00%
Harold Jonker 12342.40%
Allan de Roo 7971.60%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2600059.47%
840019.21%
624914.29%
19704.51%
Other 11002.52%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Niagara West-Glanbrook
   (90.42% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Welland
   (7.94% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   St. Catharines
   (1.64% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Sam Oosterhoff * 2439452.81%
Curtis Fric 1376929.81%
Joe Kanee 485910.52%
Jessica Tillmanns 25905.61%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

1017524.97%
1948247.80%
794819.50%
23485.76%
Other 8031.97%


08/05/21 Chris N
24.36.32.209
Long described as ‘Ontario's Bible Belt,’ the demographics of this region are changing, slowly. Many priced out Torontonians are moving to developments in Grimsby, Beamsville and the outskirts of St. Catharines. This is slowly changing the electorate, but not enough to reverse the CPC dominance in this riding. It will be interesting to see whether this riding stays a CPC stronghold 10 years from now, but until then it's staying blue.



Navigate to Canada 2021 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2021 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2021 - Email Webmaster